Volume 1, Issue  18 September 2002


Sandler's Report sets the hare hopping.

The tortoise is catching up?

By Richard Carswell   of   trackerfunds.com

September 2002

Ron Sandler's review of the savings market has criticised the investment industry for selling poor value for money, actively managed, funds and implies more investors should buy passive index-tracking funds. The fact is that the hare never really took the lead in the race with tortoise in the first place. So not surprisingly, with the tortoise nosing ahead consistently, the managers of the billions invested in these actively managed funds are running round like headless hares.

Trackerfunds.com is obviously critical of the active managers for years (see Tr@cker Magazine archived articles). But we argue that tracker funds are complementary to well managed active funds – not substitutes. It’s therefore very helpful to have someone of the stature of Ron Sandler to weigh into the fray, coming to similar conclusions when making recommendations to the Government.

What actions should investors take now?

It’s hard to imagine anyone is brave enough to invest now. But with stockmarkets in turmoil right round the world this is precisely the time both to review your existing unit trust holdings and to start thinking about investing new money.

Chucking out funds with high charges that consistently fail to produce results makes sense. After all why pay the active managers whilst they look on helplessly as markets fall?

However, switching out of under-performing funds demands rather less courage than investing cash at a time like this. But there’s no doubting the benefit of buying low and selling high. No-one can predict the bottom of the market unless they are just plain lucky. But if you start a regular savings program now, one of your monthly payments will get very close to calling the turn in the market.

And when markets do recover you’ll get more out of your investment because of the benefit of POUND COST AVERAGING.

‘Pound cost averaging’ is explained as follows:

The average COST of the units you buy through a monthly investment program will always be LOWER than the average price of the units you bought.

This is proved arithmetically as the illustration shows below:

 

Monthly investment

Fictitious price of units

Number of units bought

Average price of units

Average cost of units

Current value of units bought

Benefit' from Pound cost averaging

01-Aug-02

£250

100p

250.00

£250.00

 

01-Sep-02

£250

96p

260.42

£490.00

 

01-Oct-02

£250

92p

271.74

£719.58

 

01-Nov-02

£250

93p

268.82

£977.40

 

01-Dec-02

£250

98p

255.10

£1,279.95

 

01-Jan-03

£250

102p

245.10

£1,582.20

 

01-Feb-03

£250

91p

274.73

£1,661.57

 

01-Mar-03

£250

90p

277.78

£1,893.31

 

01-Apr-03

£250

97p

257.73

£2,290.57

 

01-May-03

£250

102p

245.10

£2,658.64

 

01-Jun-03

£250

101p

247.52

£2,882.57

 

01-Jul-03

£250

100p

250.00

£3,104.03

 

 

£3,000

 

3,104.03

96.833p

96.649p

£3,104.03

£167.96

The table illustrates:

  • the effect of buying units over 12 months assuming fictitious price movements
  • the average price of units is always HIGHER than the average cost of units
  • the Pound Cost Averaging benefit (i.e. the difference between the average price and average cost of units) is £167.96 (5.6% of the total investment) based on these fictitious price movements.

When the going gets tough, the tough get going! So when most investors are running scared is the time to start making those sensible, reasoned investment decisions. Here are two ideas:

Stop paying those high charges where they aren’t justified

and

Start a regular investment program to get the benefit of pound cost averaging.

There’s no denying that, with the hare and the tortoise in partnership, no-one’s the loser.

 

 

 

The Tortoise is catching up?


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This document is issued by MBO Advisory Partners who are regulated by the FSA. Any opinions expressed herein reflect best judgment and information at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. Reference(s) to any investment(s) in this document is/are not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell by MBO Advisory Partners or any named contributors to this document. Remember the price of units and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back your original investment. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. PEP and ISA tax reliefs may change in the future and their value will depend on your individual circumstances.
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